Temporal Trend and Spatial Distribution of Oral Cancer Mortality in Sergipe
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.32635/2176-9745.RBC.2022v68n2.2087Keywords:
mouth neoplasms/mortality, spatio-temporal analysis, spatial analysis, ecological studies, demographyAbstract
Introduction: Annually, in Brazil, 15 thousand individuals are diagnosed with oral cancer and almost half of them die. Sergipe is among the seven Brazilian states with the highest rates. Objective: To analyze the temporal trend and the spatial distribution of oral cancer mortality in Sergipe between 2007 and 2016. Method: Population-based time series ecological study, using techniques of spatial analysis. Mortality data were obtained from the Mortality Information System (SIM). The analysis of temporal trends was performed with the Joinpoint regression model using Poisson regression. Spatial analyzes were carried out using the Kernel intensity estimator and the Moran Global and Local indexes. Results: 543 oral cancer deaths were analyzed. The most frequent cases were in men (74%), with an average age of 64 years and low education. The overall and male’s mortality rates (annual percent change ‒ APC=2.5; 95% CI 0.9-6.7 and APC=2.96; 95% CI 1.2- 5.6), respectively, increased. There was also an increasing trend of mortality by tongue cancer (APC=10.05; 95% CI 3.8-16.7). Mortality related to other anatomical locations was stable. There was a concentration of deaths in the Metropolitan, Midsouth and Mid-rural regions. Conclusion: During the period investigated, the general mortality rate showed an increasing trend, with concentration in the Midsouth, Mid and Metropolitan regions, and it is necessary to maintain preventive and control measures against oral cancer throughout the State of Sergipe.
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