Current Radiotherapy Needs in SUS and Estimates for the Year 2030

Abstract

Introduction: Cancer is amongst the main non-communicable chronic diseases in the world and for 2030 it is expected to increase in the incidence of 54% compared to 2015. This increase requires public strategies and policies to meet the demands for treatment, especially therapy radiation, since it involves specific equipment and manpower. Objectives: To present the current scenario of radiotherapy in Brazil, its structural and human resources, and to evaluate the scene of radiation to the country in 2030. Method: This is a descriptive study based on reference theoretical and in current and projected population estimates, databases of official information systems and professional class, and legislation and regulations issued by agencies that regulate and license the subject in Brazil. Results: The results showed that the deficit in July 2015 in Brazil is 255 radiotherapy services and human resources of 387 radiation therapists, 546 physical-medical and 425 production supervisors. For the year 2030 the estimated deficit is 198 radiotherapy and human resources of 235 physical-medical and 114 production supervisor. Conclusion: The aging population and consequent increase in chronic diseases like cancer demand the public health services to do some planning to ensure the demand for treatment. The deficit, current and projected radiotherapy in Brazil indicates the urgency of strategies and public policies to meet the needs presented.